The Dow Mega-Trends in 100 years
There are three mega trends in the Dow Jones Industrial Average for the 100 years since the Great Depression.
The first mega trend is the 51-year period when the stock market rose and then reached its plateau from 1932 to 1982. Two third of the time was rising (34 years) and one third of the time was in plateau (17 years). This mega trend was driven mainly by industrial developments such as automobiles and the interstate highways.
The second mega trend is the 27-year period when the stock market rose and then reached its plateau from 1982 to 2009. Similarly, the first 18 year period was rising from 1982 to 2000. Then the market stays in the plateau for 9 years from 2000 to 2009. This mega trend was mainly driven by semiconductors, personal computers and the Internet.
The third mega trend might run from 2010 to 2031. This 21-year period is divided into two periods: the first 14-year rising market and then followed by the 7-year plateau period. The mega trend is driven by innovations in nanotechnologies and biotechnologies. By then the 100 years of Dow Jones Industrial Average will finish its three mega-trends.
If this dream was true, then the Dow still have two years of flat markets.
The first mega trend is the 51-year period when the stock market rose and then reached its plateau from 1932 to 1982. Two third of the time was rising (34 years) and one third of the time was in plateau (17 years). This mega trend was driven mainly by industrial developments such as automobiles and the interstate highways.
The second mega trend is the 27-year period when the stock market rose and then reached its plateau from 1982 to 2009. Similarly, the first 18 year period was rising from 1982 to 2000. Then the market stays in the plateau for 9 years from 2000 to 2009. This mega trend was mainly driven by semiconductors, personal computers and the Internet.
The third mega trend might run from 2010 to 2031. This 21-year period is divided into two periods: the first 14-year rising market and then followed by the 7-year plateau period. The mega trend is driven by innovations in nanotechnologies and biotechnologies. By then the 100 years of Dow Jones Industrial Average will finish its three mega-trends.
If this dream was true, then the Dow still have two years of flat markets.
posted by Unknown at 9:38 AM
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