Mythical Number 7
There are many mythical numbers. One of the most intriguing numbers is the number seven (7). I feel this number is very often used in daily life. There are 7 days in a week. There is the 7-year itch. Mao once said there would be a cultural revolution in 7 or 8 years. In casinos, the number 7 appears in many slot machines.
The number 7 is often associated with bad lucks. The number 13 is often associated with bad lucks as well. I was thinking about how to relate these two numbers. I came up with the following mathematical equation:
X = B^X
Where B is the bad luck number 1.313131313…, X is the value to be sought for. When I solve this equation, I have obtained two answers: X1 = 1.5080, X2 = 7.2944.
Since I am interested in the stock market, I feel that the above two values for X are very useful reference for conservative investors. One way to interpret the two values is to see them as the bound for investment goals. For the short-term, to obtain an average return on investment at 31% per year for 1.5 years is a reasonable goal. For the longer term, it might be too much an extravaganza if one seeks to achieve above 31% return annually for more than 7.3 years.
Recently, there are two people in the local Dallas Chinese community who promote investment vehicles with expected returns above 50% per year. Many frieds of mine have asked me about my opinions about these returns. I thought these returns might be very difficult to maintain for the long term.
I thought this was interesting so that I kept a record here.
The number 7 is often associated with bad lucks. The number 13 is often associated with bad lucks as well. I was thinking about how to relate these two numbers. I came up with the following mathematical equation:
X = B^X
Where B is the bad luck number 1.313131313…, X is the value to be sought for. When I solve this equation, I have obtained two answers: X1 = 1.5080, X2 = 7.2944.
Since I am interested in the stock market, I feel that the above two values for X are very useful reference for conservative investors. One way to interpret the two values is to see them as the bound for investment goals. For the short-term, to obtain an average return on investment at 31% per year for 1.5 years is a reasonable goal. For the longer term, it might be too much an extravaganza if one seeks to achieve above 31% return annually for more than 7.3 years.
Recently, there are two people in the local Dallas Chinese community who promote investment vehicles with expected returns above 50% per year. Many frieds of mine have asked me about my opinions about these returns. I thought these returns might be very difficult to maintain for the long term.
I thought this was interesting so that I kept a record here.