Tuesday, November 21, 2006

My First Golf Experience

Learning golf is an excellent pastime. I have enjoyed every bit of it. Today I was talking with Jenny in the driving range. She said that golfing is a costly activity compared with playing basketball. When I add all recent spending related to golf, it amounts to some significant number. Over the past several weeks, the spending is listed below.

(1) Golf clubs: $300/3-year, or $100/year.
(2) Club membership: $25/month, equivalent to $300/year.
(3) Three rounds of golf: $83/month, or $1,000/yr
(4) Golf shoes (two pairs): $100/year.
(5) Golf balls, tees, gloves, etc: $25/3-month, or $100/year.

The total cost based on the above listings is approximately $1600/year. I do not know what are the other costs associated with golfing. Like in engineering estimate, I use a safety factor of 1.25. Then the estimated annual golfing cost is $2000/year.

Friday, November 17, 2006

Global Infrastructure & REIT ETFs

According to Morningstar, SSgA will launch two specialty ETF fund: streetTRACKS DJ Wilshire Global (ex-US) Real Estate ETF and streetTRACKS Macquarie Global Infrastructure 100 ETF among many other new offerings. I believe these two funds are critical components of a well-balanced portfolio. iShares has the infrastructure fund listed in the London Stock Exchange already. In this aspect, the US lags behind the UK.

There are five real estate index funds. These funds had great performances so far since their respective launches.

IYR - iShares Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Index Fund
ICF - iShares Cohen & Steers Realty Majors Index Fund
RWR- streetTRACKS Wilshire REIT index fund
RWX - streetTRACKS International REIT Index Fund
VNQ - Vanguard REIT ETF

There is one infrastructure index fund in the US stock exchanges. There are three closed-end funds associated with the Macquarie name. They have mixed performances so far since their inceptions.

GII - Macquarie Global Infrastructure 100 ETF
MFD - Macquarie/FT Global Infrastructure/Utilities Dividend & Income
MGU - Macquarie Global Infrastructure Total Return Fund
MIC - Macquarie Infrastructure Company Trust

Tuesday, November 14, 2006

Alpha-Beta Values


The Alpha-Beta values are plotted on this graph. The horizontal axis is Beta while the vertical axis is Alpha. The red squares are the values for a long-term bond fund. The blue triangles are for REITs. The green diamonds are for a small cap fund. The Alpha-Beta value is relative to an S&P 500 fund.

It is commonly believed that bonds, REITs, and small-caps are excellent diversifiers relative to S&P 500. Based on this graph, it is clear that is very true. However, the appropriate measurements of the optimal Alpha-Beta matrix are not clear yet. This will be our next quest.

Diversity Keeps Riparian Habitat Greener

I often take a walk along the small creek near my house. The creek is a tributary to the White Rock Creek, one of the major creeks in the Dallas Area. A popular park area, the White Rock Lake is on the White Rock Creek. A white-colored house sitting on the right bank of the creek near the lake was once owned by the legendary Hunt family.

The lawns in the park or around the residences are Bermuda grass. Since the lawns are uniformly Bermuda grass, they are turning brown due to the cold winter.

The Riparian Habitat areas, designated by the Corps of Engineers, along the creek are still very green. There are many types of grasses growing on the riparian habitat area. Some grasses on the habitat area are very tall. Some have seeds waiting to be ripening.

The difference among the park or residence lawns and the habitat grasses is very sharp: brown versus lush green.

This reminds me again that diversity creates beauty. Since I am trying to establish a diversified portfolio for investments, I have seen more beautiful diversity examples in the real world.

Wednesday, November 08, 2006

News is like Modern Food

I was going to respond to Alan’s post by the following email. Later I thought it was not appropriate to respond in such a way. However, I would like to make a record for my thought here.

I know that news can make money for newspapers or news agencies. Youtube is one of the recent examples. Can news make money for investors? I use the following analogy to explain my thinking.

Rice can be used to make porridge. Rice can be used to make rice wine. Rice can also be used to make hard liquor.

Porridge is only physically changed form of rice. Rice wine is half-physically and half-chemically changed form of rice. Hard liquor is completely different from rice chemically. It is biologically changed form of rice.

Porridge can hardly make people exiting. But rice wine is such a delicacy. Many people like it very much. Then liquor is such a wonder. It can make people completely exited, sometimes, forgetting their own names.

It seems that the more advanced processed rice makes people happier.

In this highly developed country, who would care about consuming porridge, or rice wine, or liquor? News is becoming the modern food for educated people.

News is prepared, not with physical, chemical, or biological processes. It is prepared with psychological and sociological process, a much more complex process than biological, chemical or physically process.

Sometimes I am wondering what news can do to people. Can news make people happier than drinking liquor?

Drunk (by liquor) driving is dangerous. Is it possible for people becoming drunk by consuming too much news?

Saturday, November 04, 2006

Maxshares Capital?

Olina, Max and I were going to start a strategic partnership to pursue investing. After several meetings and email communications, we decided to delay this effort to a later time since our current interests were not aligned in the same direction. I put one of the meeting minutes (which was emailed to Olina and Max around March 2006) here for my future reference.

Meeting Minutes (draft)
Re: To form a new company to pursue investments
Attendants: Xiaohong, Max, and Chris
3/23/2006 at Escape, Plano, Texas
Prepared by Chris Rao

Xiaohong, Max and Chris met for lunch at Shabu Shabu (from 11:45 a.m. to 1 p.m.). After lunch, we moved to Escape (from 1 p.m. to 3:45 p.m.) to continue our discussions about forming a new investment company. We have generally outlined our company structure, long-term goals, and a preliminary work plan. We determine to pursue this dream of beating the market return by 3% to 4% and ultimately to have an ETF (exchange-traded-fund) listed. Below is a summary of the items we have discussed and determined.

1. Company Name --- Maxshares Capital LLC and/or Maxshares Capital Partners LP

In order to determine our company name, we had a long discussion. First we have determined that our company’s current goals are divided into two steps. In the first step, we strive to reach a numerical target of beating the market return (S&P 500 or SPY) by 3% to 4%. In the second step, we will work toward listing at least one ETF based on our work product. We have recognized that it may take a long time for us to reach these goals. However, we have committed to achieve our goals. Our current expectation is for us to reach our goals in three to five years.

We have considered several names. Max proposed names such as Maxmin Investments, PRS Investments. Xiaohong proposed several alternatives for these names. Chris proposed Maxshares Capital as our company name, following the steps of successful ETF sponsors such as iShares and Powershares. We have agreed to adopt the Maxshares name.

Chris will be responsible for filing the registration of the LP. Initial registration fees of $750 for LP will be shared equally. An accountant is needed for reporting taxes.

Before filing the LP or LLC, Xiaohong will consult with her friends about the right or optimal structure for our joint venture.

2. General Partners.

We agree that all three of us will become general partners. No limited partners are allowed for now. The general partners will contribute a total of $100,000 as initial seed capital.

3. Limited Partners.

We may accept limited partners at a later stage of the company development. If we agree later to admit limited partners, the minimum entry capital should be at least twice of the general partners contributions. However, limited partners can not join the ownership of the company.

4. Partnership unit structure.

We agree that each general partner will have approximately the same units: Max 34%, Xiaohong 33%, and Chris 33%. Initial capital contribution can be in the same percentage.

5. Limited Partnership Agreements.

Since we do not admit any limited partners at this stage of development. This task will be developed at a later time if necessary.

6. Portfolio Management Procedures.

(1) Max each week will develop a list of 10 stock candidates based on his most updated model result and his personal evaluation.

(2) Xiaohong and Chris will independently (or together?) evaluate this list of stock candidates every week. The final product is to rank each stock with some quantitative values range from 1 to 10 (for 1 as the worst while 10 as the best).

(3) Xiaohong and Chris will jointly develop the final buy or sell recommendations based on their independent recommendations. At the same time, written evaluation criteria will be developed over time to solidify and improve the evaluation standards and repeatability.

(4) Chris will make the actual buy or sell executions based on the results from the above studies. All buy or sell executions can be monitored and critiqued at regular bases.

7. Portfolio Management Guidelines.

(1) A portfolio of 30 stocks should be maintained at all time after the initial installation period. When an excellent candidate is better than any one in the current portfolio, a replacement should happen. In this way, the overall portfolio quality would be gradually improved over time.

(2) Full investment should be maintained at all time if possible. This is consistent with our long-term goal of listing our portfolio as an ETF.

(3) If two general partners can convince the third one for a buy/sell, then the buy/sell should happen.

(4) No individual stock should have more than two-times the average weight. When that happens, 50% of the position in that stock should be sold.

(5) When bad news happens to a specific stock, sell first think later. These criteria for bad news will be gradually developed as written forms.

8. Potential conflicts (I can perceive now)

This was not part of the meeting discussion. However, I consider them outstanding questions we have to address properly before starting our joint venture.

(1) Portfolio management conflict. Since each of us has sets of different perspectives in evaluating company’s value, we may have some situations we could not reach an agreement on which company to buy or sell. In this situation, the conflicts may rise. So we have to be very clear on how we could avoid this problem in our testing period and in future operations.

(2) Intellectual properties may also be a problem in the future. Since what Max has developed over the last several years is more or less a black box to the other partners while any written forms of management procedures and management guidelines will be open to all three partners. So we may need to properly address this question very carefully so that later confusion can be avoided.

(3) Clear divisions of jobs among the three partners should also be addressed at earlier time. Now we have strong interests in developing a working product together. However, over time, this togetherness may have to be separated in the near future in order for each of us can leverage his/her strength to the fullest potentials. So I think we have to have some clear directions at the present for each of us to take when the development of the ETF product is closer to its finish line.

(4) Family influence can also become a potential conflict. Each partner has a significant other to consider in order making a long-lasting commitment to this joint venture. It is appropriate for us to address this problem now in order to avoid future confusion.

(5) Confidentiality and nondisclosure issues can also rise in the future. So I think we should consider clearing this out of our ways before we start our joint venture.

(6) Biding period. How long is our joint venture going to last? We have some ideas. But we do not have a definite answer to this question. We should have one, in my opinion.

(7) Regular meeting time. We may form a joint venture; we will not have a common working place for an extended period of time into the future. How do we make sure we have all our communications problems resolved properly and timely? This should be addressed clearly.

9. Comments and Questions.

I summarized our meeting minutes and raised some potential questions. Now I ask you two have some comments and raise your questions so that we can proceed to the next level for this joint venture.